longbridge-sector-monitor

longbridge-sector-monitor

Prompt-only analysis skill. Tracks sector rotation over 6–12 months by locating the current economic cycle phase and mapping it to historically favoured sectors. Provides ongoing allocation recommendations rather than a point-in-time snapshot.

Response language: match the user's input language — Simplified Chinese / Traditional Chinese / English.

When to use

• "当前经济周期在哪个阶段", "where are we in the economic cycle", "當前經濟週期在哪個階段"
• "行业配置建议", "sector allocation recommendation", "行業配置建議"
• "现在应该超配哪些行业", "which sectors to overweight now"
• "防御性板块 vs 顺周期板块", "defensive vs cyclical sectors"
• "行业轮动跟踪", "sector rotation tracking over 6 months"

For a quick point-in-time sector strength ranking use longbridge-sector-rotation. For single-stock capital flow use longbridge-capital-flow.

Economic cycle framework

| Phase | 阶段 | Key macro signals | Favoured sectors | |---|---|---|---| | Recovery / 复苏 | GDP turning up, unemployment falling, rates low | Consumer discretionary, Financials, Real estate | | Overheating / 过热 | GDP above trend, inflation rising, rates rising | Energy, Materials, Industrials | | Stagflation / 滞涨 | Growth slowing, inflation still high | Healthcare, Consumer staples, Utilities | | Recession / 衰退 | GDP contracting, unemployment rising | Utilities, Consumer staples, Government bonds proxy |

CLI

Run longbridge <subcommand> --help to verify exact flags before use:

# Index constituents to identify sector universe
longbridge constituent <INDEX> --format json

# 120-day kline for sector ETFs / indices (trend tracking)
longbridge kline <SECTOR_ETF> --period day --count 120 --format json

# Capital flow for individual sector symbols
longbridge capital <SYMBOL> --flow --format json

# If unsure about flags:
longbridge constituent --help
longbridge kline --help
longbridge capital --help

Workflow

1. Clarify scope — market (A-share / HK / US) and horizon (6-month / 12-month). Default: A-share, 6-month.
2. Select sector proxies:
3. A-share: 申万一级行业指数 (e.g. 801750.SH IT, 801780.SH Financials, 801730.SH Utilities)
4. US: SPDR ETFs (XLK.US, XLF.US, XLE.US, XLV.US, XLY.US, XLP.US, XLU.US, XLB.US)
5. HK: HSI sector sub-indices or representative ETFs
6. Fetch 120-day kline for each sector proxy:

``bash longbridge kline <SECTOR> --period day --count 120 --format json ``

1. Compute trend metrics in-LLM:
2. 20d, 60d, 120d returns for each sector
3. Trend direction: 20d MA vs 60d MA (above = uptrend)
4. Fetch capital flow for top and bottom 3 sectors by 60d return:

``bash longbridge capital <SECTOR> --flow --format json ``

1. Locate economic cycle phase using trend patterns and macro context provided by the user (or inferred from sector behaviour):
2. Broad market trend + sector leadership pattern → infer phase
3. Map to allocation recommendation: overweight sectors favoured in current phase; underweight laggards.
4. Output monitoring report; cite Longbridge Securities; end with disclaimer.

Output

Sector Monitor Report — Source: Longbridge Securities
Market: {market}  |  Horizon: {6M / 12M}  |  Date: {date}

[Economic cycle positioning]
Current phase estimate: {Recovery / Overheating / Stagflation / Recession}
Basis: {trend patterns, sector leadership, user-provided macro context}

[Sector trend table (120-day window)]
Sector            | 20d Ret | 60d Ret | 120d Ret | Trend    | Capital Flow
──────────────────|---------|---------|----------|----------|--------------
{Sector A}        | +X%     | +Y%     | +Z%      | Uptrend  | Net inflow
{Sector B}        | ...
...

[Allocation recommendation]
Overweight:  {Sector 1}, {Sector 2}  — favoured in {phase} phase
Neutral:     {Sector 3}, {Sector 4}
Underweight: {Sector 5}, {Sector 6}  — typically lag in {phase} phase

[Cycle transition watch]
Next likely phase: {phase}  |  Trigger signals to watch: {signals}

⚠️ 以上分析仅供参考，不构成投资建议。/ 以上分析僅供參考，不構成投資建議。/ For reference only. Not investment advice.

Error handling

| Situation | 简体中文回复 | 繁體中文 / English | |---|---|---| | command not found: longbridge | 回退到 MCP；如 MCP 也不可用，请安装 longbridge-terminal。 | 回退到 MCP；如也不可用，請安裝 longbridge-terminal。/ Fall back to MCP; if also unavailable, install longbridge-terminal. | | stderr not logged in | 请运行 longbridge auth login 登录。 | 請執行 longbridge auth login。/ Run longbridge auth login. | | kline returns < 60 bars | 趋势分析退化为可用历史，注明数据长度不足。 | 趨勢分析退化為可用歷史，注明數據長度不足。/ Degrade to available history length; note limitation. | | Other stderr | 直接显示原始错误，不静默重试。 | 顯示原始錯誤。/ Surface verbatim — do not retry silently. |

MCP fallback

If longbridge CLI is not installed, use MCP tools:

When the CLI is unavailable, fall back to the MCP server. Discover available tools from the MCP server's tool list at runtime — do not rely on hardcoded tool names.

MCP setup: claude mcp add --transport http longbridge https://openapi.longbridge.com/mcp (quote scope).

Related skills

• Point-in-time sector strength snapshot → longbridge-sector-rotation
• Single-stock capital flow → longbridge-capital-flow
• Index constituents → longbridge-constituent
• Market temperature & trading session → longbridge-market-temp

File layout

longbridge-sector-monitor/
└── SKILL.md   # prompt-only, no scripts/