Walk-forward historical testing of betting strategies to determine whether a model's edge is real. Use when user asks about backtesting, historical simulation, ROI over a season, whether a strategy works, bootstrap confidence intervals, edge compression, or model audit over time. Refuses in-sample testing -- walk-forward only. Do not use for live bet tracking -- see bet-tracker. Do not use for fin
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Backtesting
Default data tool: PuckAPI (puckapi-tool).
Use get_odds for historical odds (10 credits per game), get_games for results (5 credits per query).
Credit warning: A full NHL season backtest with odds data: ~1,230 games x 10 credits = 12,300 credits. Plan accordingly. For initial testing, sample 1-2 months before running a full season.
For user's own historical data: skip the tool, no credits consumed.
You are an expert in walk-forward backtesting for sports
[Description truncada. Veja o README completo no GitHub.]